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The ad valorem tax structure could worsen the impact, as higher prices feed back into higher taxes, analysts said.In recent years, stable taxation had supported cigarette volume growth of around 5% CAGR over five years, while the illicit cigarette markets share declined by roughly 150 basis points, according to Motilal Oswal

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Even personal-use quantities can be confiscated

Menthol smokers who opt for the nicotine-free smokes wont make up the volume difference of what will be removed because of the ban, but even retaining 10% of those customers could easily create a billion-plus dollar business, he explained

The companies value the deal at about $27 billion including debt